Asian stocks held near four-year lows and crude oil prices approached a 20 percent drop in less than two weeks, as investors remained wary of China’s volatile financial markets.
European markets are set to open flat to slightly higher, with Britain’s FTSE 100 .FTSE to open 0.5 percent up, Germany’s DAX .GDAXI to gain 0.8 percent, and France’s CAC 40 .FCHI to rise 0.7 percent, according to IG.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS gave up early gains to trade 0.2 percent lower, just shy of its lowest level in four years. It is down more than 8 percent since the start of 2016. It fell 12 percent last year.
“Investors are still concerned about the extent of China’s slowdown and while we may be in the middle of a consolidation phase, we have yet to see any data indicating a turnaround which is feeding the overall uncertainty,” said Ben Pedley, head of investment strategy for Asia at HSBC Private Bank in Hong Kong.
With investors still licking their wounds from last year’s plunge in global commodity prices and a sharp sell-off in Chinese markets, 2016 has brought about more pain for investment portfolios in the form of a deepening slowdown in the global economy and volatile Chinese markets.
Japan’s Nikkei .N225 fell 2.7 percent after a market holiday on Monday, closing at its lowest in nearly a year, while U.S. stock mini futures ESc1 were in the red pointing to a weak start.
Beijing set another firm fix for its currency and stepped up a verbal campaign, backed by what dealers said was aggressive intervention by state-owned banks to steady markets.
According to MSCI global indexes, BRIC and other emerging market indexes have bled the most so far this year; the BRIC index has lost 7.2 percent and emerging markets, 6.8 percent. MSCI’s broadest gauge of world stocks .MIWD00000PUS fell to its lowest since September 2013.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 .SPX managed to stabilize on Monday after three straight days of one-percent-plus declines, ending the day up 0.1 percent.
“It is a good sign that U.S. shares bought back in late trading to end in positive territory … Maybe they were helped by the view that the Fed may not be able to raise rates when markets were gripped by fear over China and falling oil prices,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.
Indeed, money market futures <0#FF:> are starting to price out the chance of multiple rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year, with only a roughly 50 percent chance of a second hike priced in. At the start of the year, futures were fully pricing in two rate increases.
The market is far from convinced that the Fed is going to raise rates in March, after implementing its first rate hike in almost a decade only last month.
“Interest rate differentials don’t mean anything at the moment. Risk sentiment, oil prices, and China – people are just focusing on that now,” said Kaneo Ogino, director at foreign exchange research firm Global-info Co in Tokyo.
Commodity prices remained under severe pressure, with oil prices hitting new 12-year lows on concerns about slow demand and oversupply – including U.S. shale oil production and a likely supply increase from Iran with sanctions lifted.
U.S. crude futures marked a fresh 12-year low of $30.64 per barrel CLc1 on Tuesday, down more than 17 percent so far this year. Brent futures LCOc1 fell to $30.73 per barrel, also a 12-year low.
Copper CMCU3, seen as a good gauge of the strength of the global economy because of its wide use, edged higher from a 6-1/2-year low on Monday to rise to $4,389 a tonne.
Commodity-linked currencies stayed under pressure. The Australian dollar dipped 0.2 percent AUD=D4 in early trade to $0.6980 after a small bounce on Monday, edging towards the four-month low of $0.6927 set earlier on Monday.
The Canadian dollar hit a 12-1/2-year low of C$1.4245 to the U.S. dollar CAD=D4 on Monday and last stood at C$1.4225.
The dollar was firmer against other major currencies.
The euro traded at $1.0805 EUR=, having slipped 0.6 percent on Monday. The yen, which had been buoyed by safe-haven flows, also stepped back from a 4-1/2-month high touched on Monday at 117.47 yen to the dollar JPY=.