Gold rises in 3 months on political, economic uncertainty

Gold on Wednesday held near three-month highs hit the session before, buoyed as political and economic uncertainty in the United States and Europe stoked safe-haven demand.

Spot gold had edged up 0.1 percent to $1,234.20 per ounce by 0307 GMT. On Tuesday, the metal touched its highest since November 11 at $1,235.78.

U.S. gold futures were mostly unchanged at $1,236.30 an ounce.

“The biggest momentum behind gold is the fact that the Fed did not raise rates in the recent meeting, some uncertainties brought by U.S. President Donald Trump’s policies and a weaker dollar,” said Jiang Shu- chief analyst at Shandong Gold Group.

“Gold prices will continue to rise until mid-February on uncertainties in the U.S. and Europe. But, once January CPI data is released, it will give an idea about the possibility of a rate hike in March,” Shu further added.

Controversy over Trump’s temporary travel ban on people from seven Muslim-majority countries have recently boosted appetite for bullion as a safe-haven asset

Meanwhile, political uncertainty in Europe amid upcoming elections has buoyed the dollar.

Weaker output in manufacturing and construction drove the biggest monthly drop in German industrial production in nearly eight years in December, dashing prospects for robust growth in the final quarter of 2016.

The U.S. trade deficit fell in December as exports hit their highest level in more than 1-1/2 years amid record shipments of technology products- but strengthening domestic demand points to further rises in imports- which could constrain economic growth.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen will present the U.S. central bank’s semiannual report on monetary policy and the economy in testimony to the Senate Banking Committee on February 14, the panel said on Tuesday.

Gold is highly-sensitive to rising U.S. rates, which increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

A bullish target at $1,249 per ounce has been temporarily aborted for spot gold and will only be resumed when the metal breaks above resistance at $1,237, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, climbed 1.01 percent to 826.95 tonnes on Tuesday from Monday. Holdings rose for a fifth straight session.

Spot silver slipped 0.1 percent to $17.69, after marking its highest since November 11 at $17.79 in the previous session.

Platinum rose 0.6 percent to $1,007.20, after touching its highest since Nov. 9 at $1,015.20 the session before.

Palladium fell 0.1 percent to $759.78.

Source: Reuters

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