Asia stocks rise, dollar eases as Yellen green-lights risk
Asian stocks rose to a five-week high on Tuesday after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen gave a largely upbeat assessment of the U.S. economic outlook, while the dollar declined on easing expectations of interest rate increases in coming months.
Financial spreadbetters predicted Britain’s FTSE 100 would open down 0.10 percent, Germany’s DAX to gain 0.15 percent, and France’s CAC 40 to open flat.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose more than 1 percent, taking its gains to 6 percent in two weeks, as investors judged the Fed’s cautious stance as well-suited to equities.
In Asia, Hong Kong led regional stock markets, rising 1 percent as investors hunted for bargains in one of the cheapest equity markets in the region.
Japan’s Nikkei ended up 0.6 percent as attention turned to whether the Bank of Japan will ease policy again next week, as strength in the yen crimps the economy.
“Yellen’s comments yesterday downplayed the impact of the jobs data last week and gave a cautious sense of optimism on the outlook for the U.S. economy,” said Fan Cheuk Wan, head of Asia investment strategy at HSBC Private Bank.
“Her comments point towards the world remaining stuck in a low-growth and low-yield environment which should be positive for risky assets and keep the dollar soft,” she said.
The Fed chief said last month’s jobs report was “disappointing” but warned against attaching too much significance to the payrolls data in isolation.
Still, Yellen was careful not to give any hints about the timing of a next rate increase, in contrast to a speech on May 27, when she said such a move would probably be appropriate “in coming months.”
World markets cheered her comments, with U.S. stocks closing a shade below a recent record.
Money market futures reduced bets on a July rate hike further, to around 20 percent, from 30 percent before Yellen’s comments. They were pricing in about a 60 percent chance of a rate hike by July before Friday’s weak payrolls data.
With the Fed suggesting it was in no rush to increase interest rates, bond yields slipped with 10-year U.S. Treasury yields retreating to 1.74 percent from 1.84 percent last week. Benchmark yields are down 63 basis points so far this year.
Lower yields on government debt translated into further inflows into relatively higher-yielding corporate debt, with an index of Asian bonds tracked by JP Morgan rising to fresh highs.
Inflows into Asia-focused equity funds also showed a noticeable pickup in recent weeks, according to Thomson Reuters data.
The dollar index against a basket of other major currencies hit a four-week low of 93.745 before bouncing back to 94.066.
The euro eased to $1.13590 after having scaled a four-week high of $1.3930, while the yen also stepped back to 107.545 per dollar from Monday’s five-week high of 106.35.
The Australian dollar climbed to a one-month high of $0.7426 after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady at a policy meeting and investors scaled back expectations of a near-term cut.
Elsewhere, oil prices held firm after crippling attacks on Nigeria’s oil industry and fresh draws in U.S. crude stockpiles.
Global crude benchmark Brent futures hit a seven-month high of $50.83 per barrel on Monday before easing to $50.46 early on Tuesday.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude stood firm in Asia at $49.60 per barrel, after rising 2.2 percent on Monday, its largest gain in three weeks.
Source: Reuters
