Asian markets trade mixed amid expectations of Fed rate cut

Asian markets traded mixed on Thursday as shares on Wall Street saw a record close overnight, worse-than-expected U.S. economic data raising expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve could cut interest rates at its upcoming July meeting.

The Nikkei 225 rose 0.32% in afternoon trade, while the Topix gained 0.6%.

In South Korea, the Kospi advanced 0.12%, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added 0.43%.

Shares in mainland China gained in early trade, with the Shanghai composite slipping 0.27% and the Shenzhen component 0.5% lower. The Shenzhen composite also declined 0.5%.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index also fell 0.11%.

On Wednesday, data showed that private payrolls in the U.S. increased less than expected in June, raising expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve could cut interest rates at its upcoming monetary policy meeting. Last month, the central bank opened the door to easier monetary policy by stating it will “act as appropriate” to maintain the current economic expansion.

Overnight stateside, the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 179.32 points to end the day at 26,966, notching intraday and closing all-time highs. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.7% to close at 8,170.23, while the S&P 500 also gained 0.7% to close at 2,995.82.

Markets on Wall Street will be closed on Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday.

Investors will now be watching for the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, set to be released stateside on Friday.

“The U.S. non-farm payrolls report is always a big mover for the U.S. dollar and all of the major currencies but this month’s report could be more market moving than usual,” Kathy Lien, managing director of foreign exchange strategy at BK Asset Management, wrote in a note.

“Last month, the Federal Reserve said they are close to cutting interest rates but how quickly they move depends on data. In that case, there’s no single economic report as important as the jobs report,” Lien said. “If job growth falls short of expectations, the market could immediately move to pricing in a July interest rate cut.”

US-China trade

Meanwhile, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Wednesday that face-to-face negotiations between the U.S. and China would begin “soon. ”

Investors are watching for developments as the two economic powerhouses remain locked in a trade fight, with Kudlow’s comments coming days after U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed not to impose new tariffs on each other’s goods.

But Neil Dwane, global strategist at Allianz Global Investors, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday: “We still think it’s 50-50 … that the U.S. and China eventually face off on trade … and technology.”

“The postponing of it doesn’t mean it’s an all-clear,” he added.

Currencies and oil

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of its peers, was at 96.748 following its rise from levels around 96.3 earlier in the week.

The Japanese yen traded at 107.77 against the dollar after strengthening from levels around 108.5 seen earlier this week. The Australian dollar was at $0.7036 after rising from levels below $0.699 yesterday.

Oil prices were lower in the morning of Asian trading hours, with international benchmark Brent crude futures slipping 0.72% to $63.36 per barrel and U.S. crude futures declining 0.66% to $56.96 per barrel.

Source: CNBC

Leave a comment