Gold jumps on European poll concerns

Gold prices edged up on Wednesday on uncertainty over the outcome of the Dutch elections, while markets awaited clues on the pace of U.S. interest rate hikes this year.

With an immediate rate increase by the Fed seen as a done deal, investors are focusing on what message the central bank will deliver when it concludes its meeting later on Wednesday.

In December the Fed forecast three rate rises this year.

Spot gold edged up 0.3 percent to $1,201.64 per ounce by 0313 GMT.

U.S. gold futures were down 0.1 percent at $1,201 per ounce.

“We do not think much will change throughout much of Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision and policy statement,” INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said.

“Our bias is still somewhat constructive on gold given that we think the Fed will shrink from coming across as too aggressive.”

The statement from the Fed, due at 1800 GMT on Wednesday, will be followed by a briefing at 1830 GMT.

Investors were also focusing on Wednesday’s Dutch elections, which have been boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal.

The Party for Freedom is seen as having little chance of coming to power, but a strong election performance for the group that wants to “de-Islamicise” the Netherlands would fuel worries over a surprise result in French presidential elections in April and May.

“We expect the bullish bias to continue throughout the session as the Dutch election gives the yellow metal a slight safe-haven bid,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.

Critical support for gold held around $1,180, analysts said.

Prices have fallen more than five percent since gold failed to sustain a break above its 200-day moving average resistance at around $1,261 in late February.

In Britain, concerns have increased over a second Scottish independence referendum and the triggering of Article 50, which would formally begin British negotiations to leave the European Union.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.36 percent to 834.99 tonnes on Tuesday from Monday.

Holdings rose for a second straight session after outflows last week.

Spot silver rose 0.5 percent to $16.92 an ounce.

Platinum was up 0.8 percent at $939.50, while palladium fell 0.1 percent to $743.

Source: Reuters

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